Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 1.110176 1.319139 1.537694 1.781816 2.045459 2.320308 2.627237
2025-02-02 0.874558 1.177424 1.513611 1.907939 2.351937 2.831323 3.383242
2025-02-09 0.760469 1.116781 1.528246 2.025627 2.599353 3.230873 3.969731
2025-02-16 0.650451 1.042819 1.513689 2.098837 2.788284 3.559713 4.474322
2025-02-23 0.542755 0.953810 1.466586 2.120816 2.906774 3.799065 4.869212
2025-03-02 0.415330 0.821011 1.351705 2.049700 2.906465 3.894452 5.093775
2025-03-09 0.306796 0.696637 1.234399 1.964469 2.880029 3.951867 5.267908
2025-03-16 0.232818 0.609614 1.156828 1.921337 2.898071 4.056147 5.491521
2025-03-23 0.193859 0.570883 1.140894 1.954239 3.007192 4.266715 5.837913
2025-03-30 0.153467 0.521887 1.105509 1.957815 3.076859 4.427857 6.124401
2025-04-06 0.112500 0.462090 1.048500 1.928007 3.100980 4.531390 6.340510
2025-04-13 0.099794 0.455647 1.070849 2.005916 3.262524 4.802319 6.756374
2025-04-20 0.089726 0.455527 1.106515 2.108267 3.463868 5.132191 7.255770
2025-04-27 0.083252 0.462717 1.154258 2.228905 3.691078 5.496635 7.800273
2025-05-04 0.079864 0.476251 1.211646 2.362700 3.935021 5.881318 8.368692
2025-05-11 0.068362 0.466536 1.229897 2.440177 4.104929 6.174416 8.826963
2025-05-18 0.051622 0.436916 1.212474 2.464694 4.203840 6.378464 9.176891
2025-05-25 0.027924 0.371564 1.127859 2.387298 4.164449 6.407649 9.312754
2025-06-01 0.011136 0.307324 1.036792 2.294757 4.100643 6.403035 9.404722
2025-06-08 0.003533 0.264342 0.978792 2.247806 4.095201 6.469334 9.580783
2025-06-15 0.001370 0.249964 0.974997 2.283615 4.202760 6.679328 9.933792
2025-06-22 0.000084 0.227304 0.951770 2.287501 4.265253 6.831048 10.214383
2025-06-29 NaN 0.196518 0.907189 2.255072 4.275601 6.914655 10.409713